David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited (HKG:1171) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Yankuang Energy Group
What Is Yankuang Energy Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yankuang Energy Group had debt of CN¥87.5b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from CN¥98.9b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥50.0b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥37.5b.
A Look At Yankuang Energy Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Yankuang Energy Group had liabilities of CN¥74.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥99.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥50.0b in cash and CN¥21.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥102.3b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of CN¥135.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Yankuang Energy Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Yankuang Energy Group's net debt is only 0.55 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 40.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Yankuang Energy Group grew its EBIT by 137% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yankuang Energy Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Yankuang Energy Group recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
The good news is that Yankuang Energy Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Yankuang Energy Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yankuang Energy Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1171
Yankuang Energy Group
Engages in the mining, preparation, and sale of coal in China and internationally.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.