Stock Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (HKG:1138) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (HKG:1138) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2025 COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation had CN¥34.0b of debt, an increase on CN¥28.0b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥7.66b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥26.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1138 Debt to Equity History October 5th 2025

A Look At COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation had liabilities of CN¥15.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥29.4b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.66b in cash and CN¥3.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥33.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥52.7b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

See our latest analysis for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. But its EBIT was about 190 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Importantly, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 24% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.