Stock Analysis

Many Still Looking Away From China International Capital Corporation Limited (HKG:3908)

SEHK:3908
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There wouldn't be many who think China International Capital Corporation Limited's (HKG:3908) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

China International Capital could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

See our latest analysis for China International Capital

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3908 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 18th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China International Capital.

How Is China International Capital's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like China International Capital's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 45% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 29% per annum during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that China International Capital is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From China International Capital's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of China International Capital's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for China International Capital with six simple checks.

You might be able to find a better investment than China International Capital. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.