Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKG:388) Before It's Too Late

SEHK:388
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKG:388). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

View our latest analysis for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing

How Quickly Is Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. We can see that in the last three years Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing grew its EPS by 15% per year. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). I note that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 17% to HK$19b. That's progress.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:388 Earnings and Revenue History March 26th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing's forecast profits?

Are Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a HK$552b company like Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. To be specific, they have HK$297m worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Even though that's only about 0.05% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

Does Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

One positive for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. Just as polish makes silverware pop, the high level of insider ownership enhances my enthusiasm for this growth. The combination sparks joy for me, so I'd consider keeping the company on a watchlist. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing that you should be aware of.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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