Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (SEHK:388) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 388 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 388 (HK$285.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$205.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 388 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 388?

Key metric: As 388 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 388. This is calculated by dividing 388's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 388's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	30.5x
Earnings	HK$11.87b
Market Cap	HK$361.40b

388 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.6x
PEG Ratio	3.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 388's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 388 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	53.6x
9636 JF SmartInvest Holdings	174.8x	134.4%	HK$10.2b
6066 CSC Financial	15.6x	38.6%	HK$201.0b
6881 China Galaxy Securities	9.7x	9.8%	HK$143.0b
6608 Bairong	14.2x	29.6%	HK$4.2b
388 Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing	30.5x	8.3%	HK$361.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 388 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the peer average (53.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 388's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Capital Markets Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
2799 China CITIC Financial Asset Management	4.2x	-29.2%	US$6.60b
8098 CL Group (Holdings)	3.7x	n/a	US$11.02m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 388 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Capital Markets industry average (21.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 388's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

388 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	30.5x
Fair PE Ratio	12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 388 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 388 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	HK$285.80	HK$355.88 +24.5%	14.1%	HK$440.00	HK$240.00	n/a	15
Nov ’25	HK$311.60	HK$355.75 +14.2%	14.1%	HK$440.00	HK$240.00	n/a	15
Oct ’25	HK$326.20	HK$291.59 -10.6%	15.4%	HK$390.00	HK$215.00	n/a	15
Sep ’25	HK$240.40	HK$284.39 +18.3%	12.9%	HK$356.00	HK$215.00	n/a	15
Aug ’25	HK$230.40	HK$294.69 +27.9%	12.3%	HK$356.00	HK$223.00	n/a	15
Jul ’25	HK$250.20	HK$298.88 +19.5%	11.6%	HK$356.00	HK$223.00	n/a	16
Jun ’25	HK$262.80	HK$296.44 +12.8%	12.6%	HK$356.00	HK$220.00	n/a	16
May ’25	HK$251.60	HK$291.78 +16.0%	12.8%	HK$356.00	HK$220.00	n/a	17
Apr ’25	HK$227.80	HK$301.60 +32.4%	12.8%	HK$360.00	HK$221.00	n/a	17
Mar ’25	HK$240.00	HK$315.48 +31.5%	17.6%	HK$481.80	HK$225.00	n/a	19
Feb ’25	HK$236.80	HK$342.20 +44.5%	15.9%	HK$481.80	HK$240.00	n/a	19
Jan ’25	HK$268.00	HK$351.39 +31.1%	14.4%	HK$481.80	HK$240.00	n/a	19
Dec ’24	HK$279.80	HK$352.49 +26.0%	14.1%	HK$481.80	HK$251.00	n/a	19
Nov ’24	HK$273.80	HK$354.69 +29.5%	14.2%	HK$487.00	HK$251.00	HK$311.60	20
Oct ’24	HK$292.60	HK$368.20 +25.8%	13.5%	HK$487.00	HK$251.00	HK$326.20	19
Sep ’24	HK$304.00	HK$366.84 +20.7%	13.3%	HK$487.00	HK$251.00	HK$240.40	20
Aug ’24	HK$324.20	HK$384.24 +18.5%	13.5%	HK$487.40	HK$253.00	HK$230.40	21
Jul ’24	HK$295.20	HK$385.48 +30.6%	13.2%	HK$487.40	HK$253.00	HK$250.20	21
Jun ’24	HK$291.00	HK$387.08 +33.0%	13.2%	HK$487.40	HK$253.00	HK$262.80	21
May ’24	HK$324.00	HK$392.10 +21.0%	12.0%	HK$482.80	HK$253.00	HK$251.60	21
Apr ’24	HK$348.20	HK$394.04 +13.2%	13.6%	HK$482.80	HK$253.00	HK$227.80	20
Mar ’24	HK$330.80	HK$399.37 +20.7%	16.0%	HK$525.50	HK$220.00	HK$240.00	21
Feb ’24	HK$352.40	HK$386.88 +9.8%	17.9%	HK$525.50	HK$220.00	HK$236.80	21
Jan ’24	HK$337.20	HK$369.43 +9.6%	18.0%	HK$525.50	HK$220.00	HK$268.00	22
Dec ’23	HK$317.20	HK$362.59 +14.3%	18.7%	HK$525.50	HK$220.00	HK$279.80	21
Nov ’23	HK$226.40	HK$367.08 +62.1%	17.5%	HK$525.50	HK$240.00	HK$273.80	23

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

CSC Financial

HK$201.0b

Provides investment banking services in Mainland China and internationally.

6066

HK$10.08

7D

-0.2%

1Y

31.9%

China Renaissance Holdings

HK$4.1b

Provides investment banking and investment management services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and the United States.

1911

HK$7.27

7D

0%

1Y

-26.2%

Far East Horizon

HK$22.9b

Provides various financial services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally.

3360

HK$5.31

7D