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Guolian Securities (HKG:1456) jumps 6.9% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind five-year shareholder returns
Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Guolian Securities Co., Ltd. (HKG:1456) shareholders have enjoyed a 62% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market decline of around 23% (not including dividends).
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Guolian Securities investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
Check out our latest analysis for Guolian Securities
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Guolian Securities achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 10% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 10.96 also suggests market apprehension.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Guolian Securities' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Guolian Securities's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Guolian Securities' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Guolian Securities shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 76%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 1.5% in the twelve months, Guolian Securities shareholders did even worse, losing 11%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 12% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Before forming an opinion on Guolian Securities you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1456
Guolian Minsheng Securities
Provides various financial products and services in the People’s Republic of China.
Proven track record with moderate growth potential.
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