Stock Analysis

Goldstream Investment Limited (HKG:1328) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SEHK:1328
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When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 8x, you may consider Goldstream Investment Limited (HKG:1328) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 12.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Goldstream Investment certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Goldstream Investment

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1328 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Goldstream Investment will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Goldstream Investment's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 258%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 33% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's alarming that Goldstream Investment's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Goldstream Investment's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Goldstream Investment revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Goldstream Investment (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.