Tongcheng Travel Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Tongcheng Travel Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17% and 9.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.2% in 3 years.
Key information
17.0%
Earnings growth rate
12.42%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 24.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.8% |
| Future return on equity | 13.18% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 17 Nov 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
Aug 20
Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
May 26HK$22.55 - That's What Analysts Think Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Is Worth After These Results
Nov 21Recent updates
Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Nov 11The Strong Earnings Posted By Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Sep 19Investor Optimism Abounds Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) But Growth Is Lacking
Sep 14Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Sep 01Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year
Aug 20Do Tongcheng Travel Holdings' (HKG:780) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Aug 19Are Investors Undervaluing Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) By 42%?
Aug 04These 4 Measures Indicate That Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Is Using Debt Safely
Jul 22Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
May 26Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
May 26Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited's (HKG:780) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 56% Above Its Share Price
Apr 18Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited's (HKG:780) P/E Is On The Mark
Mar 24Here's Why We Think Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Mar 12The Return Trends At Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Look Promising
Feb 12Is Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Using Too Much Debt?
Jan 16An Intrinsic Calculation For Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Suggests It's 41% Undervalued
Jan 03
AI-Driven Innovation And Global Expansion Will Propel Revenue Growth And Boost Net Margins
Expansion into international markets and strategic partnerships aims to drive revenue growth and increase the international business's contribution.HK$22.55 - That's What Analysts Think Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Is Worth After These Results
Nov 21Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 24,020 | 3,908 | 4,258 | 5,502 | 21 |
| 12/31/2026 | 21,723 | 3,326 | 3,679 | 4,799 | 25 |
| 12/31/2025 | 19,304 | 2,774 | 2,957 | 4,544 | 23 |
| 6/30/2025 | 18,276 | 2,455 | 4,418 | 4,710 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 17,852 | 2,247 | 2,443 | 2,859 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 17,341 | 1,974 | 2,555 | 2,970 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 16,248 | 1,934 | 638 | 1,673 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 14,555 | 1,651 | 1,992 | 3,027 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 13,176 | 1,573 | 2,820 | 3,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 11,896 | 1,554 | 3,210 | 4,003 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,252 | 1,219 | 3,737 | 4,291 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 9,000 | 619 | 1,832 | 2,386 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,453 | 131 | 1,050 | 1,583 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,585 | -146 | -231 | 302 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,931 | -90 | -756 | -468 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,822 | 232 | 557 | 844 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,642 | 655 | 476 | 786 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 7,538 | 723 | 1,527 | 1,838 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7,504 | 773 | 1,649 | 1,893 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,479 | 789 | 2,187 | 2,431 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 6,541 | 553 | 2,149 | 2,315 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5,933 | 328 | -31 | 136 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 6,076 | 344 | -305 | -78 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 6,224 | 391 | -263 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 6,615 | 535 | -580 | -277 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,393 | 688 | 1,394 | 1,696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,009 | 409 | 1,358 | 1,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,633 | 177 | 1,530 | 1,913 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,357 | -55 | N/A | 2,199 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 5,256 | 530 | N/A | 2,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 4,320 | 864 | N/A | 2,036 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,270 | 954 | N/A | 1,276 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,578 | 932 | N/A | 1,065 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,519 | 196 | N/A | 720 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,205 | -2,139 | N/A | -410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,026 | -916 | N/A | -776 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 780's forecast earnings growth (17% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: 780's earnings (17% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 780's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 780's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 780's revenue (9.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 780's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/11/20 10:36 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/11/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited is covered by 41 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Lixin Ju | BofA Global Research |
| Wing Han Chan | CCB International Securities Limited |
| Ximin Gu | China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. |