Tongcheng Travel Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Tongcheng Travel Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17% and 12.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 1.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.6% in 3 years.
Key information
17.0%
Earnings growth rate
1.8%
EPS growth rate
Hospitality earnings growth | 22.0% |
Revenue growth rate | 12.4% |
Future return on equity | 12.6% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 18 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
HK$22.55 - That's What Analysts Think Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Is Worth After These Results
Nov 21Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
May 23Recent updates
HK$22.55 - That's What Analysts Think Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Is Worth After These Results
Nov 21We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780)
Oct 22Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited's (HKG:780) 35% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Oct 07Is Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Using Too Much Debt?
Sep 29Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
Jul 18What You Can Learn From Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited's (HKG:780) P/S After Its 25% Share Price Crash
Jun 20Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Jun 09Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780) Just Released Its First-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think
May 23The Strong Earnings Posted By Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
May 08Estimating The Fair Value Of Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited (HKG:780)
Apr 12Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Mar 28Is Tongcheng Travel Holdings (HKG:780) A Risky Investment?
Feb 26Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited's (HKG:780) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
Jan 25There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Tongcheng Travel Holdings' (HKG:780) Returns On Capital
Dec 24Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2026 | 22,611 | 3,118 | 4,079 | 4,692 | 21 |
12/31/2025 | 20,017 | 2,584 | 3,555 | 4,514 | 26 |
12/31/2024 | 17,175 | 2,086 | 3,765 | 4,064 | 25 |
9/30/2024 | 16,248 | 1,934 | 638 | 1,673 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 14,555 | 1,651 | 1,992 | 3,027 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 13,176 | 1,573 | 2,820 | 3,614 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 11,896 | 1,554 | 3,210 | 4,003 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 10,252 | 1,219 | 3,737 | 4,291 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 9,000 | 619 | 1,832 | 2,386 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 7,453 | 131 | 1,050 | 1,583 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 6,585 | -146 | -231 | 302 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 6,931 | -90 | -756 | -468 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 6,822 | 232 | 557 | 844 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 7,642 | 655 | 476 | 786 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 7,538 | 723 | 1,527 | 1,838 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 7,504 | 773 | 1,649 | 1,893 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 7,479 | 789 | 2,187 | 2,431 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 6,541 | 553 | 2,149 | 2,315 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 5,933 | 328 | -31 | 136 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 6,076 | 344 | -305 | -78 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 6,224 | 391 | -263 | -35 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 6,615 | 535 | -580 | -277 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 7,393 | 688 | 1,394 | 1,696 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 7,009 | 409 | 1,358 | 1,741 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 6,633 | 177 | 1,530 | 1,913 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 6,357 | -55 | 1,862 | 2,199 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 5,256 | 530 | 2,023 | 2,361 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 4,320 | 864 | 1,759 | 2,036 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 3,270 | 954 | N/A | 1,276 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 2,578 | 932 | N/A | 1,065 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 2,519 | 196 | N/A | 720 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 2,205 | -2,139 | N/A | -410 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 1,026 | -916 | N/A | -776 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 780's forecast earnings growth (17% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: 780's earnings (17% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 780's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 780's revenue (12.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 780's revenue (12.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 780's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2024/12/21 10:38 |
End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Analyst Sources
Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited is covered by 42 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
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Ka Ho Li | BOCI Research Ltd. |
Janet Yang | BofA Global Research |
Lixin Ju | BofA Global Research |