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China East Education Holdings (HKG:667) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at China East Education Holdings (HKG:667) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on China East Education Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.058 = CN¥411m ÷ (CN¥9.5b - CN¥2.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, China East Education Holdings has an ROCE of 5.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 8.5%.
View our latest analysis for China East Education Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China East Education Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China East Education Holdings here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of China East Education Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.8% from 45% five years ago. However it looks like China East Education Holdings might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a related note, China East Education Holdings has decreased its current liabilities to 25% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Our Take On China East Education Holdings' ROCE
To conclude, we've found that China East Education Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 82% over the last three years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for China East Education Holdings you'll probably want to know about.
While China East Education Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:667
China East Education Holdings
An investment holding company, provides vocational training education services in the People's Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.