Stock Analysis

Reflecting on Ajisen (China) Holdings' (HKG:538) Share Price Returns Over The Last Three Years

SEHK:538
Source: Shutterstock

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited (HKG:538) share price up 29% in a single quarter. Meanwhile over the last three years the stock has dropped hard. Regrettably, the share price slid 64% in that period. So it is really good to see an improvement. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

Check out our latest analysis for Ajisen (China) Holdings

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Ajisen (China) Holdings saw its share price decline over the three years in which its EPS also dropped, falling to a loss. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:538 Earnings Per Share Growth February 18th 2021

It is of course excellent to see how Ajisen (China) Holdings has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Ajisen (China) Holdings' TSR for the last 3 years was -59%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Ajisen (China) Holdings shareholders are down 29% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 28%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ajisen (China) Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Ajisen (China) Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About SEHK:538

Ajisen (China) Holdings

An investment holding company, operates a chain of fast casual restaurants in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.

Flawless balance sheet slight.

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