Stock Analysis

Fairwood Holdings (HKG:52) Is Reducing Its Dividend To HK$0.40

SEHK:52
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Fairwood Holdings Limited's (HKG:52) dividend is being reduced to HK$0.40 on the 6th of October. However, the dividend yield of 4.6% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Fairwood Holdings

Fairwood Holdings Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Fairwood Holdings' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 27.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 265%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

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SEHK:52 Historic Dividend July 3rd 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from HK$0.54 to HK$0.65. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.9% over that duration. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 27% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.

Fairwood Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Fairwood Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.