Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited (HKG:27) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Galaxy Entertainment Group
How Much Debt Does Galaxy Entertainment Group Carry?
As you can see below, Galaxy Entertainment Group had HK$6.48b of debt at December 2021, down from HK$9.32b a year prior. But on the other hand it also has HK$21.1b in cash, leading to a HK$14.7b net cash position.
How Healthy Is Galaxy Entertainment Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Galaxy Entertainment Group had liabilities of HK$14.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$1.30b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$21.1b and HK$1.78b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has HK$6.75b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Galaxy Entertainment Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Galaxy Entertainment Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Galaxy Entertainment Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of HK$287m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Galaxy Entertainment Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Galaxy Entertainment Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last year, Galaxy Entertainment Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Galaxy Entertainment Group has HK$14.7b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Galaxy Entertainment Group's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Galaxy Entertainment Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:27
Galaxy Entertainment Group
An investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.