Stock Analysis

LH Group (HKG:1978) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

SEHK:1978
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LH Group Limited's (HKG:1978) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to HK$0.0406 on the 27th of June. The dividend yield of 9.8% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

See our latest analysis for LH Group

LH Group Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last payment made up 80% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Earnings per share could rise by 17.6% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 189% over the next year.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1978 Historic Dividend May 6th 2024

LH Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, LH Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. The annual payment during the last 5 years was HK$0.054 in 2019, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.0812. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.5% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

LH Group's Dividend Might Lack Growth

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that LH Group has been growing its earnings per share at 18% a year over the past five years. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.

In Summary

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for LH Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.