Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes XJ International Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:1765) Following 30% Share Price Slump

SEHK:1765
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XJ International Holdings Co., Ltd. (HKG:1765) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 66% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider XJ International Holdings as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for XJ International Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1765 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 7th 2024

What Does XJ International Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The recent revenue growth at XJ International Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on XJ International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

XJ International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 128% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that XJ International Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On XJ International Holdings' P/S

XJ International Holdings' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Services companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see XJ International Holdings currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with XJ International Holdings (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.