Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Fulum Group Holdings (HKG:1443) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:1443
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Fulum Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1443) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Fulum Group Holdings

What Is Fulum Group Holdings's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Fulum Group Holdings had HK$308.9m of debt, an increase on HK$240.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$169.8m, its net debt is less, at about HK$139.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1443 Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2023

A Look At Fulum Group Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fulum Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$643.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$202.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$169.8m and HK$17.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$658.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$254.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Fulum Group Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Fulum Group Holdings has net debt of just 0.66 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.3 times the interest expense over the last year. Even more impressive was the fact that Fulum Group Holdings grew its EBIT by 173% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Fulum Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Fulum Group Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Fulum Group Holdings is not finding it easy, given its level of total liabilities, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Fulum Group Holdings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Fulum Group Holdings has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.