Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fulum Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1443) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Fulum Group Holdings
How Much Debt Does Fulum Group Holdings Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 Fulum Group Holdings had debt of HK$195.8m, up from HK$180.0m in one year. However, it also had HK$144.4m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$51.3m.
A Look At Fulum Group Holdings' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fulum Group Holdings had liabilities of HK$726.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$240.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$144.4m as well as receivables valued at HK$26.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$795.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$286.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Fulum Group Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fulum Group Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Fulum Group Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.4b, which is a gain of 3.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Fulum Group Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$158m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of HK$75m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Fulum Group Holdings (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1443
Fulum Group Holdings
An investment holding company, operates restaurants under the Fulum, Sportful Garden, and Asian Catering Line brands in Hong Kong and Mainland China.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.