Wynn Macau Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Wynn Macau is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13% and 5.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 11.7% per annum.

Key information

13.0%

Earnings growth rate

11.7%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	22.3%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Shares

Jul 27

What Does Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Indicate?

May 22

Investor Optimism Abounds Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) But Growth Is Lacking

Apr 19

We Think Wynn Macau's (HKG:1128) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Mar 29

Are Investors Undervaluing Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) By 49%?

Mar 14

There's Reason For Concern Over Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Price

Dec 26

Wynn Macau's (HKG:1128) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Dec 05

Is It Time To Consider Buying Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)?

Aug 21

Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

Jul 13

Estimating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Apr 04

What Is Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Doing?

Nov 25

Calculating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Sep 19

These Analysts Just Made A Decent Downgrade To Their Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) EPS Forecasts

Aug 12

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Outlook

Jul 21

Estimating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Jun 14

Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Estimates

May 12

What Does Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Indicate?

Apr 18

An Intrinsic Calculation For Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Suggests It's 24% Undervalued

Jan 12

An Intrinsic Calculation For Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Suggests It's 48% Undervalued

Aug 24

At HK$12.84, Is Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Worth Looking At Closely?

Jun 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:1128 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	31,540	3,364	5,215	8,365	11
12/31/2025	29,964	2,990	4,877	8,039	14
12/31/2024	28,694	2,706	4,907	7,616	13
6/30/2024	28,264	2,676	6,430	7,585	N/A
3/31/2024	26,939	2,357	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2023	24,268	1,172	6,098	6,812	N/A
9/30/2023	18,656	-1,816	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2023	13,134	-3,654	2,178	2,471	N/A
3/31/2023	8,012	-6,251	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	5,644	-7,339	-2,515	-2,120	N/A
9/30/2022	6,613	-7,090	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2022	8,211	-6,620	-2,466	-1,884	N/A
3/31/2022	10,799	-5,393	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2021	11,725	-5,179	-1,688	-1,212	N/A
9/30/2021	12,298	-4,653	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2021	10,409	-5,455	-3,599	-3,150	N/A
3/31/2021	7,052	-7,271	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2020	7,612	-7,217	-4,457	-3,708	N/A
9/30/2020	13,527	-4,624	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2020	21,099	-1,678	-290	1,105	N/A
3/31/2020	30,264	2,384	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2019	36,162	5,057	5,111	6,751	N/A
9/30/2019	37,519	5,083	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2019	39,438	6,030	9,341	10,778	N/A
3/31/2019	39,328	5,960	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	39,592	6,245	8,527	9,716	N/A
9/30/2018	40,589	6,184	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	37,359	5,140	9,042	10,370	N/A
3/31/2018	38,231	4,670	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	34,032	3,700	N/A	12,667	N/A
9/30/2017	32,805	2,649	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	28,266	1,887	N/A	9,288	N/A
3/31/2017	25,633	1,604	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	22,099	1,436	N/A	5,843	N/A
9/30/2016	19,284	1,565	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	18,532	2,114	N/A	4,032	N/A
3/31/2016	18,343	2,180	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	19,096	2,410	N/A	2,480	N/A
9/30/2015	20,725	3,010	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	23,461	4,233	N/A	3,298	N/A
3/31/2015	26,132	5,183	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	29,445	6,445	N/A	5,758	N/A
9/30/2014	32,210	7,497	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2014	32,659	7,655	N/A	7,589	N/A
3/31/2014	32,432	7,898	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2013	31,341	7,701	N/A	10,525	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 1128's forecast earnings growth (13% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 1128's earnings (13% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 1128's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 1128's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 1128's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if 1128's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/18 09:23
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Wynn Macau, Limited is covered by 40 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Phoebe Tse	Barclays
D. S. Kim	BNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Yifan Zhou	BOCI Research Ltd.

Wynn Macau Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Price target increased by 7.6% to HK$9.99

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$8.80

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$0.035 loss

Price target increased by 7.0% to HK$10.49

Price target increased to HK$8.33

Recent updates

Returns On Capital At Wynn Macau (HKG:1128) Have Hit The Brakes

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%

Are Investors Undervaluing Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) By 47%?

Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) 33% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

What Does Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Indicate?

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22%

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.075 per share

Returns On Capital At Wynn Macau (HKG:1128) Have Stalled

First half 2024 earnings released

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Declaration of Interim Dividend for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2024, Expected to Be Paid on 12 September 2024

Wynn Macau, Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 15, 2024

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Shares

Wynn Macau, Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Wynn Macau, Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.075 per share

What Does Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Indicate?

Price target increased by 7.6% to HK$9.99

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Wynn Macau, Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 30, 2024

COO & Executive Director recently sold HK$9.3m worth of stock

Investor Optimism Abounds Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) But Growth Is Lacking

We Think Wynn Macau's (HKG:1128) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

Wynn Macau, Limited Recommends Payment of A Final Dividend in Respect of the Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 19 June 2024

Are Investors Undervaluing Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) By 49%?

Wynn Macau, Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 21, 2024

Price target decreased by 11% to HK$8.80

There's Reason For Concern Over Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Price

Wynn Macau's (HKG:1128) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Third quarter 2023 earnings released

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

COO & Executive Director recently sold HK$6.3m worth of stock

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Is It Time To Consider Buying Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)?

Now 20% undervalued

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Wynn Macau, Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 17, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

COO & Executive Director recently sold HK$5.6m worth of stock

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Board Changes

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to HK$0.035 loss

First quarter 2023 earnings released

Estimating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target increased by 7.0% to HK$10.49

Full year 2022 earnings released

Price target increased to HK$8.33

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Board Changes

Price target increased to HK$7.62

What Is Wynn Macau, Limited's (HKG:1128) Share Price Doing?

Insufficient new directors

Calculating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 29%

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Appointment of Frederic Jean-Luc Luvisutto as an Executive Director

These Analysts Just Made A Decent Downgrade To Their Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) EPS Forecasts

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

Wynn Macau, Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 11, 2022

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Outlook

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 14%

Wynn Macau, Limited and Wynn Resorts (Macau) S.A. Announces Change of Senior Management

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Resignation of Ciarán Pearse Carruthers as Chief Operating Officer, Effective September 30, 2022

Wynn Macau, Limited Announces Change of President and Re-Designation of Directors

Estimating The Fair Value Of Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128)

Wynn Macau, Limited (HKG:1128) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Estimates

Consensus revenue estimates fall by 13%

Price target decreased to HK$8.30

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%