Stock Analysis

Convenience Retail Asia (HKG:831) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.04

SEHK:831
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Convenience Retail Asia Limited (HKG:831) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.04 per share on the 11th of June. The yield is still above the industry average at 9.1%.

View our latest analysis for Convenience Retail Asia

Convenience Retail Asia's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Convenience Retail Asia's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 26% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 20.9% over the next year. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 94%, meaning that most of the company's earnings is being paid out to shareholders.

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SEHK:831 Historic Dividend April 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.568 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.06. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 89% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Convenience Retail Asia's earnings per share has shrunk at 21% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Our Thoughts On Convenience Retail Asia's Dividend

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Convenience Retail Asia has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.