Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Sun Art Retail Group (HKG:6808)

SEHK:6808
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Sun Art Retail Group (HKG:6808) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Sun Art Retail Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.032 = CN¥968m ÷ (CN¥64b - CN¥34b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, Sun Art Retail Group has an ROCE of 3.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Consumer Retailing industry average of 9.4%.

Check out our latest analysis for Sun Art Retail Group

roce
SEHK:6808 Return on Capital Employed June 11th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Sun Art Retail Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Sun Art Retail Group here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Sun Art Retail Group

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Consumer Retailing market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings.
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Sun Art Retail Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 17% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Another thing to note, Sun Art Retail Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 53%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Bottom Line

In summary, Sun Art Retail Group is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 80% over the last five years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Sun Art Retail Group and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.