Stock Analysis

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Alpha Era International Holdings Limited's (HKG:8406) Stock?

SEHK:8406
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Alpha Era International Holdings' (HKG:8406) stock is up by a considerable 49% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Alpha Era International Holdings' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Alpha Era International Holdings

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Alpha Era International Holdings is:

23% = CN¥28m ÷ CN¥120m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.23.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Alpha Era International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

To begin with, Alpha Era International Holdings has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 6.6% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 31% net income growth seen by Alpha Era International Holdings over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

As a next step, we compared Alpha Era International Holdings' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.3%.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:8406 Past Earnings Growth January 23rd 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Alpha Era International Holdings fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Alpha Era International Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Alpha Era International Holdings' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 23% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (77%) of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

While Alpha Era International Holdings has seen growth in its earnings, it only recently started to pay a dividend. It is most likely that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Alpha Era International Holdings' performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Remember, the price of a stock is also dependent on the perceived risk. Therefore investors must keep themselves informed about the risks involved before investing in any company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Alpha Era International Holdings.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:8406

China Oral Industry Group Holdings

An investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and markets inflatable products and related accessories in the People’s Republic of China, Europe, Australia, Oceania, North America, rest of Asia, Central and South America, and Africa.

Moderate with adequate balance sheet.