Stock Analysis

Carpenter Tan Holdings' (HKG:837) Dividend Is Being Reduced To CN¥0.2503

SEHK:837
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Carpenter Tan Holdings Limited (HKG:837) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to CN¥0.2503 on the 30th of June. This means the annual payment is 9.5% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Carpenter Tan Holdings

Carpenter Tan Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Carpenter Tan Holdings' dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 167% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.

EPS is set to fall by 2.2% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 91%, which is definitely on the higher side.

historic-dividend
SEHK:837 Historic Dividend May 24th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CN¥0.243 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CN¥0.332. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.2% per annum over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. In the last five years, Carpenter Tan Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 2.2% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Carpenter Tan Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.