Stock Analysis

Vision International Holdings (HKG:8107) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

SEHK:8107
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Vision International Holdings Limited (HKG:8107) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Vision International Holdings

What Is Vision International Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Vision International Holdings had debt of HK$40.1m, up from HK$32.3m in one year. However, it also had HK$1.71m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$38.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8107 Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2022

A Look At Vision International Holdings' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Vision International Holdings had liabilities of HK$51.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$6.22m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$1.71m as well as receivables valued at HK$64.1m due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$8.44m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Vision International Holdings' balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vision International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Vision International Holdings reported revenue of HK$127m, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Vision International Holdings produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost HK$687k at the EBIT level. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. But we'd want to see some positive free cashflow before spending much time on trying to understand the stock. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Vision International Holdings is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those make us uncomfortable...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.