What Perfectech International Holdings Limited's (HKG:765) P/S Is Not Telling You
When close to half the companies in the Leisure industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider Perfectech International Holdings Limited (HKG:765) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Perfectech International Holdings
How Has Perfectech International Holdings Performed Recently?
For instance, Perfectech International Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Perfectech International Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Perfectech International Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.3% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 17% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 4.2% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that Perfectech International Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Perfectech International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Perfectech International Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Perfectech International Holdings you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Perfectech International Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:765
Perfectech International Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of novelties, decoration, and toy products in Hong Kong, other Asian countries, Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet low.