Stock Analysis

Prada (HKG:1913) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

SEHK:1913
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the HK Luxury industry.

What Is Prada's Debt?

As you can see below, Prada had €608.0m of debt at June 2022, down from €707.8m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €793.6m in cash, so it actually has €185.6m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1913 Debt to Equity History October 11th 2022

How Healthy Is Prada's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Prada had liabilities of €1.34b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €2.38b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €793.6m and €409.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.52b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Prada shares are worth a very impressive total of €12.8b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Prada boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Prada grew its EBIT by 74% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Prada may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Prada actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €185.6m. The cherry on top was that in converted 178% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €780m. So is Prada's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Prada, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.