Stock Analysis

Does Prada (HKG:1913) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:1913
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Prada

What Is Prada's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prada had €486.7m of debt in June 2023, down from €608.0m, one year before. However, it does have €766.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €279.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1913 Debt to Equity History November 9th 2023

How Strong Is Prada's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Prada had liabilities of €1.33b due within a year, and liabilities of €2.37b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €766.3m in cash and €399.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €2.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Prada has a titanic market capitalization of €14.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Prada also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Prada has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Prada has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Prada actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €279.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €840m, being 123% of its EBIT. So we don't think Prada's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Prada's earnings per share history for free.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Prada is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.