The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Prada
What Is Prada's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Prada had €745.3m in debt in December 2021; about the same as the year before. But it also has €990.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €244.8m net cash.
A Look At Prada's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prada had liabilities of €1.42b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.41b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €990.0m as well as receivables valued at €409.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.43b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Prada shares are worth a very impressive total of €12.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Prada boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Even more impressive was the fact that Prada grew its EBIT by 260% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Prada can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Prada has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Prada actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing up
Although Prada's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €244.8m. The cherry on top was that in converted 205% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €924m. So is Prada's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Prada you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1913
Prada
Designs, produces, and distributes leather goods, footwear, and ready to wear products worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.