Stock Analysis

Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited's (HKG:1382) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

SEHK:1382
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Pacific Textiles Holdings' (HKG:1382) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past week. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Pacific Textiles Holdings' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Pacific Textiles Holdings

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Pacific Textiles Holdings is:

23% = HK$728m ÷ HK$3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.23 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Pacific Textiles Holdings' Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

To begin with, Pacific Textiles Holdings has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 7.3% which is quite remarkable. For this reason, Pacific Textiles Holdings' five year net income decline of 9.4% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared Pacific Textiles Holdings' performance with the industry and found thatPacific Textiles Holdings' performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 2.2% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:1382 Past Earnings Growth March 5th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 1382? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Pacific Textiles Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Pacific Textiles Holdings has a high three-year median payout ratio of 89% (that is, it is retaining 11% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

In addition, Pacific Textiles Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 85%. Regardless, the future ROE for Pacific Textiles Holdings is predicted to rise to 27% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Pacific Textiles Holdings certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a high ROE, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This can be blamed on the fact that it reinvests only a small portion of its profits and pays out the rest as dividends. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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