Stock Analysis

At HK$9.78, Is Xtep International Holdings Limited (HKG:1368) Worth Looking At Closely?

SEHK:1368
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While Xtep International Holdings Limited (HKG:1368) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$15.92 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$9.78. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Xtep International Holdings' current trading price of HK$9.78 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Xtep International Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Xtep International Holdings

What's the opportunity in Xtep International Holdings?

According to my valuation model, Xtep International Holdings seems to be fairly priced at around 16% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Xtep International Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$11.71, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Xtep International Holdings’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Xtep International Holdings look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:1368 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 81% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Xtep International Holdings. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? 1368’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on 1368, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Xtep International Holdings and we think they deserve your attention.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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