Miko International Holdings Limited (HKG:1247) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Despite an already strong run, Miko International Holdings Limited (HKG:1247) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 194% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Miko International Holdings as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Miko International Holdings
How Miko International Holdings Has Been Performing
Miko International Holdings has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Miko International Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Miko International Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
Miko International Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.8%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Miko International Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Miko International Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Miko International Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Miko International Holdings that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1247
Miko International Holdings
Designs, manufactures, wholesales, retails, and sells infant and children’s apparel, footwear, and other accessories in the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.