Stock Analysis

Is KNT Holdings (HKG:1025) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:1025
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, KNT Holdings Limited (HKG:1025) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for KNT Holdings

What Is KNT Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KNT Holdings had debt of HK$35.3m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from HK$49.2m over a year. However, it also had HK$8.45m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$26.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1025 Debt to Equity History August 25th 2021

How Strong Is KNT Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that KNT Holdings had liabilities of HK$45.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$6.11m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$8.45m as well as receivables valued at HK$9.88m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$32.9m.

This deficit isn't so bad because KNT Holdings is worth HK$130.0m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is KNT Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year KNT Holdings had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 63%, to HK$63m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While KNT Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$43m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$30m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for KNT Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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