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The Returns At Dongjiang Environmental (HKG:895) Provide Us With Signs Of What's To Come
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Dongjiang Environmental (HKG:895), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Dongjiang Environmental, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.078 = CN¥515m ÷ (CN¥10b - CN¥3.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Dongjiang Environmental has an ROCE of 7.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 9.9%.
See our latest analysis for Dongjiang Environmental
In the above chart we have measured Dongjiang Environmental's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Dongjiang Environmental here for free.
So How Is Dongjiang Environmental's ROCE Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Dongjiang Environmental doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 7.8%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Dongjiang Environmental's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 56% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Dongjiang Environmental that you might find interesting.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:895
Dongjiang Environmental
Provides environmental services in the People’s Republic of China.
Low and overvalued.