Stock Analysis

Omnibridge Holdings' (HKG:8462) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively

SEHK:8462
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Omnibridge Holdings Limited's (HKG:8462) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Omnibridge Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:8462 Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2024

Zooming In On Omnibridge Holdings' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Omnibridge Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.34. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of S$2.5m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of S$1.84m. Omnibridge Holdings' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Omnibridge Holdings.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Omnibridge Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth S$3.2m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Omnibridge Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Omnibridge Holdings' Profit Performance

Omnibridge Holdings' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Omnibridge Holdings' profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Omnibridge Holdings at this point in time. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Omnibridge Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Our examination of Omnibridge Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.