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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Royal Century Resources Holdings Limited's (HKG:8125) 37% Share Price Plunge
The Royal Century Resources Holdings Limited (HKG:8125) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 37%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 65% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Royal Century Resources Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Professional Services industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Royal Century Resources Holdings
How Has Royal Century Resources Holdings Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Royal Century Resources Holdings as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Royal Century Resources Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Royal Century Resources Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 31% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Royal Century Resources Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Following Royal Century Resources Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we've seen, Royal Century Resources Holdings' three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Royal Century Resources Holdings (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8125
Royal Century Resources Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the design, fitting out and engineering, and procurement of furnishings and related products services.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.