Stock Analysis

Riverine China Holdings Limited's (HKG:1417) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

SEHK:1417
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There wouldn't be many who think Riverine China Holdings Limited's (HKG:1417) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Commercial Services industry in Hong Kong is similar at about 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Riverine China Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1417 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

How Has Riverine China Holdings Performed Recently?

Riverine China Holdings has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Riverine China Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Riverine China Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Riverine China Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.7% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 57% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.9% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Riverine China Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Riverine China Holdings' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We didn't quite envision Riverine China Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Riverine China Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.