Stock Analysis

Hanison Construction Holdings (HKG:896) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:896
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hanison Construction Holdings Limited (HKG:896) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Hanison Construction Holdings

What Is Hanison Construction Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Hanison Construction Holdings had HK$2.75b of debt, up from HK$902.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has HK$523.1m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$2.23b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:896 Debt to Equity History February 9th 2021

How Healthy Is Hanison Construction Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hanison Construction Holdings had liabilities of HK$3.54b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$102.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$523.1m and HK$365.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$2.76b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$1.15b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Hanison Construction Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hanison Construction Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Hanison Construction Holdings's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Hanison Construction Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$79m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of HK$254m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Hanison Construction Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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