Stock Analysis

China New Consumption Group Limited (HKG:8275) Stocks Pounded By 25% But Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

SEHK:8275
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China New Consumption Group Limited (HKG:8275) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that China New Consumption Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for China New Consumption Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8275 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024

How Has China New Consumption Group Performed Recently?

The recent revenue growth at China New Consumption Group would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on China New Consumption Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China New Consumption Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is China New Consumption Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China New Consumption Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.0%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 42% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's understandable that China New Consumption Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does China New Consumption Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

China New Consumption Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we've seen, China New Consumption Group's three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for China New Consumption Group (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China New Consumption Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China New Consumption Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.