Ka Shui International Holdings Limited (HKG:822) Surges 39% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

Ka Shui International Holdings Limited (HKG:822) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Ka Shui International Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Ka Shui International Holdings

How Ka Shui International Holdings Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Ka Shui International Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ka Shui International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Ka Shui International Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 13% drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Ka Shui International Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Ka Shui International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Ka Shui International Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's no surprise that Ka Shui International Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Ka Shui International Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ka Shui International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.