There Are Some Holes In Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' (HKG:8217) Solid Earnings Release
Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings Co., Ltd (HKG:8217) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.
Zooming In On Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings has an accrual ratio of 1.67 for the year to September 2025. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of HK$20.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through HK$4.9m in the last year. We saw that FCF was HK$7.9m a year ago though, so Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. The good news for shareholders is that Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Check out our latest analysis for Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$33m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2025. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' Profit Performance
Summing up, Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings' statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. If you want to do dive deeper into Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is significant...
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Ju Fu Tang Biotech Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.