What World Houseware (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:713) 45% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
The World Houseware (Holdings) Limited (HKG:713) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 45%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 49% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking World Houseware (Holdings) is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.4x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Building industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for World Houseware (Holdings)
What Does World Houseware (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, World Houseware (Holdings)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on World Houseware (Holdings) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For World Houseware (Holdings)?
World Houseware (Holdings)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 61% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 10.0% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that World Houseware (Holdings)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in World Houseware (Holdings)'s shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that World Houseware (Holdings) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with World Houseware (Holdings) (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on World Houseware (Holdings), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if World Houseware (Holdings) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:713
World Houseware (Holdings)
An investment holding company, manufactures and distributes household products, PVC pipes and fittings, and moulds in the People’s Republic of China and the United States.
Flawless balance sheet very low.