Stock Analysis

Is CHTC Fong's International (HKG:641) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

SEHK:641
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CHTC Fong's International Company Limited (HKG:641) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for CHTC Fong's International

What Is CHTC Fong's International's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CHTC Fong's International had HK$1.38b of debt in June 2023, down from HK$1.51b, one year before. On the flip side, it has HK$239.0m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$1.14b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:641 Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023

How Healthy Is CHTC Fong's International's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that CHTC Fong's International had liabilities of HK$2.26b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$98.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$239.0m as well as receivables valued at HK$237.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.88b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$246.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, CHTC Fong's International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CHTC Fong's International will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, CHTC Fong's International made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$2.1b, which is a fall of 25%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While CHTC Fong's International's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$153m at the EBIT level. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the fact is that it incinerated HK$107m of cash in the last twelve months, and has precious few liquid assets in comparison to its liabilities. So we consider this a high risk stock, and we're worried its share price could sink faster than than a dingy with a great white shark attacking it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with CHTC Fong's International (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CHTC Fong's International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.