What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating China Conch Venture Holdings (HKG:586), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on China Conch Venture Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.028 = CN¥2.0b ÷ (CN¥84b - CN¥11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, China Conch Venture Holdings has an ROCE of 2.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 7.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for China Conch Venture Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Conch Venture Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
The returns on capital haven't changed much for China Conch Venture Holdings in recent years. The company has employed 208% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 2.8%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
Our Take On China Conch Venture Holdings' ROCE
In conclusion, China Conch Venture Holdings has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 60% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with China Conch Venture Holdings and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
While China Conch Venture Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts
Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.
• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies
Or build your own from over 50 metrics.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:586
China Conch Venture Holdings
An investment holding company, provides various solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific.
Fair value with limited growth.