To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think China Conch Venture Holdings (HKG:586) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for China Conch Venture Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.028 = CN¥2.0b ÷ (CN¥84b - CN¥11b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, China Conch Venture Holdings has an ROCE of 2.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 6.5%.
See our latest analysis for China Conch Venture Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Conch Venture Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
So How Is China Conch Venture Holdings' ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at China Conch Venture Holdings. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 2.8% and the business has deployed 208% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
What We Can Learn From China Conch Venture Holdings' ROCE
In summary, China Conch Venture Holdings has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 64% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for China Conch Venture Holdings you'll probably want to know about.
While China Conch Venture Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:586
China Conch Venture Holdings
An investment holding company, provides various solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific.
Fair value with limited growth.