The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Yau Lee Holdings Limited (HKG:406) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Yau Lee Holdings
How Much Debt Does Yau Lee Holdings Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yau Lee Holdings had debt of HK$2.02b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from HK$2.32b over a year. However, it also had HK$992.9m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$1.03b.
A Look At Yau Lee Holdings' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yau Lee Holdings had liabilities of HK$2.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$1.28b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$992.9m and HK$1.52b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$1.37b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$420.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Yau Lee Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
As it happens Yau Lee Holdings has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.3 but very strong interest coverage of 44.5. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Shareholders should be aware that Yau Lee Holdings's EBIT was down 26% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Yau Lee Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Yau Lee Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, Yau Lee Holdings's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Yau Lee Holdings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Yau Lee Holdings that you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SEHK:406
Yau Lee Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the construction business in Hong Kong and internationally.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.