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Chinney Alliance Group's (HKG:385) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Chinney Alliance Group (HKG:385) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Chinney Alliance Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.037 = HK$87m ÷ (HK$4.3b - HK$1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
So, Chinney Alliance Group has an ROCE of 3.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 7.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Chinney Alliance Group
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Chinney Alliance Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Chinney Alliance Group's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Chinney Alliance Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 15%, but since then they've fallen to 3.7%. However it looks like Chinney Alliance Group might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Chinney Alliance Group has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 45%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Key Takeaway
To conclude, we've found that Chinney Alliance Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 45% over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Chinney Alliance Group does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
While Chinney Alliance Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About SEHK:385
Chinney Alliance Group
An investment holding company, provides building related contracting services for public and private sectors in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Macau.
Adequate balance sheet low.