Stock Analysis

Is China Huajun Group (HKG:377) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:377
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China Huajun Group Limited (HKG:377) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Huajun Group

What Is China Huajun Group's Debt?

As you can see below, China Huajun Group had CN¥11.1b of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥229.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥10.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:377 Debt to Equity History April 4th 2021

A Look At China Huajun Group's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Huajun Group had liabilities of CN¥13.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥229.6m and CN¥1.32b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥14.3b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥369.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, China Huajun Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China Huajun Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year China Huajun Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 4.9%, to CN¥3.5b. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, China Huajun Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥461m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥1.6b in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Huajun Group (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:377

China Huajun Group

An investment holding company, manufactures and sells multi-color packaging products, carton boxes, books, brochures, and other paper products in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, European countries, Hong Kong, and internationally.

Good value slight.