Stock Analysis

China Supply Chain Holdings (HKG:3708) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

SEHK:3708
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for China Supply Chain Holdings (HKG:3708) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for China Supply Chain Holdings

Does China Supply Chain Holdings Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2023, China Supply Chain Holdings had cash of HK$58m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$7.4m. So it had a cash runway of about 7.9 years from December 2023. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3708 Debt to Equity History May 27th 2024

How Well Is China Supply Chain Holdings Growing?

China Supply Chain Holdings managed to reduce its cash burn by 69% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. Pleasingly, this was achieved with the help of a 26% boost to revenue. It seems to be growing nicely. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how China Supply Chain Holdings is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For China Supply Chain Holdings To Raise More Cash For Growth?

We are certainly impressed with the progress China Supply Chain Holdings has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

China Supply Chain Holdings has a market capitalisation of HK$157m and burnt through HK$7.4m last year, which is 4.7% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is China Supply Chain Holdings' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about China Supply Chain Holdings' cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. But it's fair to say that its revenue growth was also very reassuring. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for China Supply Chain Holdings (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies with significant insider holdings, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.