Stock Analysis

CITIC's (HKG:267) Returns Have Hit A Wall

SEHK:267
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at CITIC (HKG:267), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on CITIC is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.056 = CN¥329b ÷ (CN¥11t - CN¥5.1t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Therefore, CITIC has an ROCE of 5.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Industrials industry average of 3.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for CITIC

roce
SEHK:267 Return on Capital Employed September 29th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for CITIC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CITIC here for free.

What Can We Tell From CITIC's ROCE Trend?

The returns on capital haven't changed much for CITIC in recent years. The company has employed 80% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 5.6%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.

On a side note, CITIC's current liabilities are still rather high at 46% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

What We Can Learn From CITIC's ROCE

As we've seen above, CITIC's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Since the stock has declined 16% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for CITIC you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.