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Could SINOPEC Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:2386) Have The Makings Of Another Dividend Aristocrat?
Is SINOPEC Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:2386) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. If you are hoping to live on your dividends, it's important to be more stringent with your investments than the average punter. Regular readers know we like to apply the same approach to each dividend stock, and we hope you'll find our analysis useful.
With a seven-year payment history and a 10.0% yield, many investors probably find SINOPEC Engineering (Group) intriguing. We'd agree the yield does look enticing. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying SINOPEC Engineering (Group) for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.
Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis
Payout ratios
Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 64% of SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. A payout ratio above 50% generally implies a business is reaching maturity, although it is still possible to reinvest in the business or increase the dividend over time.
We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. Of the free cash flow it generated last year, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) paid out 36% as dividends, suggesting the dividend is affordable. It's positive to see that SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.
With a strong net cash balance, SINOPEC Engineering (Group) investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.
Remember, you can always get a snapshot of SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.
Dividend Volatility
From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has been paying a dividend for the past seven years. It's good to see that SINOPEC Engineering (Group) has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past seven-year period, the first annual payment was CN¥0.3 in 2014, compared to CN¥0.3 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 2.6% per year over this time. SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s dividend payments have fluctuated, so it hasn't grown 2.6% every year, but the CAGR is a useful rule of thumb for approximating the historical growth.
It's good to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth, anyway. We're not that enthused by this.
Dividend Growth Potential
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? In the last five years, SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s earnings per share have shrunk at approximately 7.5% per annum. A modest decline in earnings per share is not great to see, but it doesn't automatically make a dividend unsustainable. Still, we'd vastly prefer to see EPS growth when researching dividend stocks.
Conclusion
When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. SINOPEC Engineering (Group)'s payout ratios are within a normal range for the average corporation, and we like that its cashflow was stronger than reported profits. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. In sum, we find it hard to get excited about SINOPEC Engineering (Group) from a dividend perspective. It's not that we think it's a bad business; just that there are other companies that perform better on these criteria.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for SINOPEC Engineering (Group) that you should be aware of before investing.
If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:2386
SINOPEC Engineering (Group)
Provides engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contracting services in the People’s Republic of China, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.