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China Chengtong Development Group Limited (HKG:217) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 10x in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Chengtong Development Group Limited's (HKG:217) P/E ratio of 9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at China Chengtong Development Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Check out our latest analysis for China Chengtong Development Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Chengtong Development Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like China Chengtong Development Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 46% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that China Chengtong Development Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that China Chengtong Development Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware China Chengtong Development Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are significant.
You might be able to find a better investment than China Chengtong Development Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About SEHK:217
China Chengtong Development Group
An investment holding company, engages in the bulk commodity trading, property development and investment, leasing, marine recreation, and hotel businesses in the People’s Republic of China.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.