Stock Analysis

Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2163) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 29%

SEHK:2163
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:2163) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 66% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2163 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

How Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group Has Been Performing

Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% per annum during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.8% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Following Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group (including 1 which is concerning).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changsha Broad Homes Industrial Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.